To accelerate the world’s transition to non-being.
Imagine a world that doesn’t exist. That is our commitment.
We believe passionately in the power of ideas to transform lives, civilizations, and, ultimately, the world. We believe the greatest doomsday machine is human creativity.
We value pragmatic solutions and applied knowledge. We are methodologically agnostic and results-oriented. We have no competitors, only partners. We passionately pursue collaboration across disciplines and other divides, because the greatest tasks require the greatest unity of purpose.
We are non-partisan and non-profit, because with our mission everyone profits, and no one does. We believe in knowledge-sharing, honesty, and tireless innovation. We pursue deep and enduring change, rapid and global transformation.
We engage the public to produce broad-based solutions. We believe in diversity, inclusion, and the equitable distribution of outcomes.
WHO WE ARE
The twenty-first century is unique in human history. At no other time has our species possessed more numerous and powerful means to end the world as we know it. The previous century gave us nuclear weapons; our own era adds new innovations — breakthroughs in artificial intelligence, nanotech, bioengineering, and other technologies — to the growing number of paths to anthropogenic apocalypse.
At present, it is difficult to estimate the likelihood of a global catastrophe. Researchers who study such scenarios vary in their conclusions. The best estimates place the chances of humanity surviving the present century somewhere between 9% and 50%.
This is an unacceptable level of uncertainty. We can do better.
CAE is an interdisciplinary research center dedicated to practical solutions for existential or global catastrophe. We partner with government, private enterprise, and academia to leverage knowledge, resources, and diverse interests in creative fusion to bring enduring and universal transformation. We unite our age’s greatest expertise to accomplish history’s greatest task.
The exponential acceleration of technological innovation is reason for optimism. Three related phenomena further increase the likelihood of realizing a world-ending scenario in the coming decades:
increasingly broad and publicly available pool of knowledge
growing democratization of advanced technologies
increasing simplification of the means to execute complex operations and thus a decreasing need for advanced skills
These and other factors make us confident that CAE and its partners can reduce uncertainty and accelerate the world to its ultimate end.
WHY THIS MATTERS
The Earth has existed for 4.5 billion years. If it continues to support life for another billion years, there could be 10 — one hundred quadrillion — more human lives lived on its surface. The number of non-human lives — mammals, fish, birds, insects, and others — will be many orders of magnitude larger. If humans venture off Earth to populate the solar system, galaxy, and beyond, the potential lives before the heat death of the universe could reach as high as 10 .
Such numbers beggar the imagination. But they help focus the mind on one crucial point.
The end of the world is an event of unique moral significance. There is no task of greater import, no change more meaningful.